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Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.Comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index fell by 0.77%, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.31%, Hong Kong stocks closed, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 0.77%, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.31%, dropped by over 5%, and JD.COM Group and Meituan fell by over 2%.The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council introduced the annual meeting of the 2024 Cross-Strait Entrepreneur Summit. Zhu Fenglian, a spokesperson for the Taiwan Affairs Office, said that the 2024 Cross-Strait Entrepreneur Summit was successfully held in Xiamen, Fujian from December 9 to 10. More than 700 business people from both sides of the Taiwan Strait attended the annual summit. Focusing on the theme of "Building a new era industrial chain across the Taiwan Strait to promote cross-strait economic integration and development", they conducted in-depth discussions on issues such as promoting cross-strait industrial Internet innovation, building Taiwanese enterprises to land in their first homes, and innovating cross-strait financial service systems. The exchange atmosphere was warm, which fully demonstrated the common aspiration of cross-strait industries to strengthen exchanges and cooperation. (Riyue Tan Tian)

The wide currency and weak credit logic may continue, and the upward direction of the market volatility will not change. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) is gaining momentum. On December 11, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) closed down by 0.25%, with a turnover of 75,892,100 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Midea Group led the rise, and Changjiang Power followed suit. In terms of decline, China Ping An led the decline, while Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited followed. In the news, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, the power battery giant, once again announced that it will build a power battery factory overseas, which will also become the company's third battery factory in Europe. Bank of China Securities said that the important meeting at the end of the year is about to land, and the market may face fluctuations caused by the expected landing of policies in the short term, but the tone of monetary policy will not change. The logic of "wide money+weak credit" will continue in the short term. Under the expectation of loose monetary policy, the upward direction of market volatility will not change. According to industry insiders, looking forward to 2025, the allocation of A-share industry can be developed around three main lines: first, the direction of domestic macro-circulation, attaching importance to "duality and innovation", "debt conversion" and new growth points in the consumption field; Second, science and technology are self-reliant: pay attention to artificial intelligence industry, self-controllable, new energy technology, aerospace information technology and data elements; The third is to open wider to the outside world: pay attention to cross-border e-commerce, digital trade, tax exemption and inbound tourism. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.UBS: It is estimated that by 2025, the price of Brent crude oil will rise to $80/barrel and WTI crude oil will rise to $75/barrel. Have a constructive view on the prospect of natural gas price in 2025 (the forecast is $3.50/million British heat in June and $3.60/million British heat in September).In November, the loading capacity of power batteries was 67.2GWh, up 13.5% from the previous month. According to the data of China Automotive Power Battery Industry Innovation Alliance, the total output of power batteries and other batteries in China was 117.8GWh in November, up 4.2% from the previous month and 33.3% from the same period last year. The loading capacity of power batteries in China was 67.2GWh, up 13.5% from the previous month and 49.7% from the same period last year. Among them, the loading capacity of ternary batteries was 13.6GWh, accounting for 20.2% of the total car, up 11.6% from the previous month and down 13.5% from the same period last year. The loading capacity of lithium iron phosphate battery was 53.6GWh, accounting for 79.7% of the total vehicle, up 14.0% from the previous month and 84.0% from the same period last year.

Tucker Carlson, a former Fox News host, is reported to have entered the paid content field. On December 11th, according to informed sources, Tucker Carlson will launch his own subscription streaming service. The former Fox News host officially entered the paid content field several months after he released the video on X. The service, called Tucker Carlson Network, is expected to go live on Monday, with a cost of $9 per month and $72 per year. Initially, it will only be available through Carlson's website. It is reported that Carlson and his team discussed launching Tucker Carlson Network through X, but X didn't act quickly enough to provide the technology they needed to operate the subscription service.Jiangxi procuratorate decided to arrest Guo Xingang according to law. Guo Xingang (director level), the former party secretary and president of Zhejiang Branch of Bank of China, was suspected of taking bribes, using his influence to take bribes, illegally issuing loans, and abusing his power by the personnel of state-owned companies. The investigation by Yichun Supervision Committee of Jiangxi Province ended and was transferred to the procuratorate for review and prosecution. Under the jurisdiction designated by the Supreme People's Procuratorate, the people's procuratorate of Yichun City, Jiangxi Province reviewed and prosecuted. A few days ago, Yichun City People's Procuratorate made an arrest decision on Guo Xingang on suspicion of accepting bribes, using influence to accept bribes, illegally issuing loans, and abusing power of state-owned company personnel. The case is being further processed.Molding technology: The transaction amount of selling Jiangsu Bank shares was 226 million yuan. According to the announcement of molding technology, the company sold 25 million shares of Jiangsu Bank through centralized bidding from December 4, 2024 to December 11, 2024, with a transaction amount of 226 million yuan. After the sale, the company also holds 25,000,600 shares of Jiangsu Bank. This transaction is conducive to optimizing the company's asset structure, revitalizing existing assets, improving asset liquidity and efficiency, and meeting the company's capital needs for future development. The sale is expected to have a positive impact on the company's financial position and cash flow.